Markets in Panic
Plus: Emhoff scandal, Iran and Hezbollah possibly striking Israel, Nirvana facts, and more...
Plus: Emhoff scandal, Iran and Hezbollah possibly striking Israel, Nirvana facts, and more...
The U.S. has successfully navigated past debt challenges, notably in the 1990s. Policymakers can fix this if they find the will to do so.
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Reasonable options include gradually raising the minimum retirement age, adjusting benefits to reflect longer life expectancies, and implementing fair means-testing to ensure benefits flow where they're actually needed.
Why aren't politicians on both sides more worried than they seem to be?
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And for good reason: Even at 3.5 percent, inflation is running higher than it did in almost every year for three decades before 2021.
Increased spending does not automatically equate to higher quality—something that is often lost in this debate.
Despite their informal nature, those norms have historically constrained U.S. fiscal policy. But they're eroding.
The Turkish opposition ran circles around President Recep Tayyib Erdogan's party in local elections. It could be the beginning of the end of his 20-year reign.
The question of how best to measure inflation has no single and straightforward answer, but most people know that the president's economic claims aren't true.
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A new economic paper explains why interest rates are the missing piece to understanding why people are unhappy about a seemingly strong economy.
The reality raises questions about the kind of future we want to leave for the next generation.
They will either reduce the ability to spend money or to cut taxes.
Rosy fiscal expectations based on eternally low interest rates have proven dangerously wrong.
Rosy fiscal expectations based on eternally low interest rates have proven dangerously wrong.
Every dollar wasted on political pork, fraud, and poorly considered infrastructure makes the country’s fiscal situation even worse.
In the last 50 years, when the budget process has been in place, Congress has managed only four times to pass a budget on time.
Years ago, when interest rates were low, calls for the federal government to exercise fiscal restraint were dismissed. That was unwise.
Higher rates lead to more debt, and more debt begets higher rates, and on and on. Get the picture?
Especially because the once-dismissed possibility of rising rates is now a reality.
The Federal Reserve's higher interest rates were supposed to trigger changes to fiscal policy. So far, that hasn't happened.
The big spending has fueled higher inflation, resulted in larger-than-projected deficits, and contributed to a record level of debt.
Federal officials ignore repeated warnings, and we all pay the price.
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It's a familiar program. And it will result in higher prices, slower growth, and fewer jobs.
Many politicians offer a simplified view of the world—one in which government interventions are all benefits and no costs. That couldn't be further from the truth.
At a minimum, the national debt should be smaller than the size of the economy. A committed president just might be able to deliver.
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Projections of huge savings are making the rounds. Nothing could be further from the truth.
The longer we wait to address our debt, the more painful it will be.
Delayed payments will increase, and companies will respond by raising interest rates—or denying low-income applicants outright.
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In 2019, discretionary spending was $1.338 trillion—or some $320 billion less than what Republicans want that side of the budget to be.
A responsible political class would significantly reform the organization. Instead, they will likely continue to give it more power.
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The higher taxes on small businesses and entrepreneurs could slow growth. Less opportunity means more tribalism and division.
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The Fed's anti-inflation measures had to hurt someone.
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While some Republicans may have had misguided motivations, a few disrupted McCarthy's campaign in order to enact fiscal restraint. Their colleagues were fine with business as usual.
If lawmakers keep spending like they are, and if the Fed backs down from taming inflation, then the government may create a perfect storm.
The Congressional Budget Office projects that future deficits will explode. But there's a way out.
The biggest beneficiaries of economic growth are poor people. But the deepest case for economic growth is a moral one.
If the midterms favor Republicans, their top priority needs to be the fight against inflation—whether or not they feel like they created the problem.
"The history of developed countries since 1970 is very discouraging about the prospects of bringing down 8 percent inflation," says Larry Summers.